Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Florida vs. Georgia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87129563a9187d3789ae944ab03ed02c863b232105ed98a9f0d9e530e39d9f12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgiaof Florida, Georgia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Georgia | 25c | 1,014$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.5 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed Georgia | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Florida | 50c | 891.3$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.65 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Florida | 75c | 533.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Florida | 26c | 321.67$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.19 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7919…d2e8backed Georgia | 27c | 288$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Florida | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Florida | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f7…e355backed Florida | 73c | 142$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41dd…dc2cbacked Florida | 73c | 125$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Georgia | 27c | 114.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Florida | 73c | 106.78$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.78 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc230…73cdbacked Florida | 73c | 101$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…7aa5backed Georgia | 26c | 86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +192.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a51…183dbacked Florida | 74c | 68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Georgia | 25c | 65.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f71…ae15backed Florida | 73c | 62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Florida | 59c | 57.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1819…b33ebacked Georgia | 26c | 55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +89%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…32e8backed Florida | 72c | 48.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9929…d57fbacked Georgia | 26c | 48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…8a7ebacked Georgia | 26c | 46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2a…855ebacked Florida | 72c | 43$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9469…6b8ebacked Georgia | 28c | 42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +146.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x995d…54c4backed Georgia | 27c | 42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +152.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x677c…6c62backed Georgia | 27c | 39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +147.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaecf…cc88backed Florida | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x046e…200fbacked Florida | 73c | 29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6670…41acbacked Florida | 74c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x003e…3a12backed Florida | 74c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffad…666cbacked Florida | 74c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…f321backed Florida | 74c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…1436backed Florida | 72c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f40…c281backed Florida | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf95…cf2ebacked Florida | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.