TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Jets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden Knightsof Golden Knights, Jets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,432
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,245

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,432 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20cc…ebc0backed Jets77c13,438$10,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,364.386657.6%38 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Golden Knights23c13,049$3,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,048.585743.9%25 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe505…d18bbacked Golden Knights48c4,618$2,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,416.276357.1%36 W · 27 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Jets53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.9831849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Golden Knights47c1,714$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.425552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Jets54c1,299$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.497549.3%37 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Jets54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Jets52c615.3$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.876137.7%23 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Jets52c499.99$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26029847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Jets53c497.34$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.592369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Jets53c469.99$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.154349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56fd…7ae6backed Jets76c434.95$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.755750.9%29 W · 28 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Golden Knights44c415.48$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.511,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed Golden Knights24c382.08$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.345534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Jets57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.951,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Jets54c251.52$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.821030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-48.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf61b…f73ebacked Golden Knights47c250$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.24551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Jets52c245$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.6372444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Golden Knights51c238.45$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.6513655.1%75 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Golden Knights12c238.36$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.765149%25 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2a…2aaebacked Jets52c210$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.2728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Jets54c203.7$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x511e…c7b5backed Golden Knights46c203.42$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.85450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0715…b17bbacked Jets54c203.42$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.851478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.24per pick55cpaid+49.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Golden Knights48c202.08$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.084158.5%24 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Jets56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Golden Knights45c160.39$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8923144.6%103 W · 128 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Jets57c131.67$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7522246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c91…0505backed Golden Knights46c108.8$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.87650%38 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9228…8cfbbacked Golden Knights47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.38450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+36.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Golden Knights48c104.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2713562.2%84 W · 51 L+0.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc018…018abacked Golden Knights29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc11b…9384backed Golden Knights49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+43.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Golden Knights47c99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4781846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Jets54c97.38$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2219150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aca…8210backed Golden Knights46c95.12$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.36955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ee5…8638backed Jets54c95.12$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x815c…4dd3backed Jets53c94.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+50.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa809…2b3fbacked Jets54c86.93$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.94616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-72.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdff5…54dabacked Golden Knights46c86.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.94450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b13…48d1backed Jets54c84.68$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.73650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8a…8d25backed Jets53c81.13$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Jets71c80$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.41,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Jets58c75$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.530155.1%166 W · 135 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9d5…d200backed Golden Knights47c74.47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.47650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd28…2e65backed Jets54c72.63$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.011968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Golden Knights37c66.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6231334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b9b…6e4abacked Golden Knights47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.83771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+46.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Golden Knights45c61.78$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8411445.6%52 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6144…2fffbacked Jets54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.44452.3%23 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x055f…bfc8backed Golden Knights47c59.57$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.571250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf144…91d6backed Golden Knights47c59.57$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.574100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+75.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e23…51c3backed Jets53c58.49$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-32.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04fd…3930backed Jets54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Golden Knights47c55$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.152142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b41…e0d3backed Jets56c55$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.824457.4%140 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe344…456dbacked Jets53c54.71$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fd…66f5backed Jets55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x479f…bb7dbacked Jets56c53.66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd548…c192backed Golden Knights47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.193100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x36c8…35cebacked Golden Knights47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.19475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+64.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x177e…a572backed Jets54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274254.8%23 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf501…d663backed Golden Knights46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+53.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9873…352dbacked Golden Knights47c48.89$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.916100%6 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+105.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcf74…6f5cbacked Jets53c47.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa534…46bfbacked Golden Knights46c44.23$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.88475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+67.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f4…2c3dbacked Golden Knights49c44.21$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.555100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+119.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x416c…3b06backed Jets54c43.9$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.71520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick60cpaid-60.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x431a…f526backed Golden Knights49c43.67$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.27633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5766…2c90backed Golden Knights46c43.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.33757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba49…a4a1backed Golden Knights47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.557338.4%28 W · 45 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14eb…b3d4backed Golden Knights46c42.23$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc942…2592backed Jets54c42.23$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b0a…9066backed Golden Knights46c42.14$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.75450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b20…bcfabacked Jets54c41.71$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9960…b820backed Jets48c41.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.95425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc16…8b34backed Golden Knights52c41.56$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d1a…f57bbacked Jets54c41.53$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.43650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a51…ab80backed Jets48c40.54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Jets54c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.673157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0403…c1ebbacked Golden Knights51c38.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.14425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-50.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eb4…e7a3backed Jets55c38.18$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8d0…9562backed Golden Knights50c37.79$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.89475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+57.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc520…e89ebacked Jets53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8aa3…3b9abacked Jets49c37.61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb406…665fbacked Golden Knights51c37.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fce…9860backed Jets54c37.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+68.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35be…e8debacked Golden Knights53c36.65$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.235100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdef0…be98backed Jets47c36.65$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.23757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d07…555cbacked Golden Knights46c36.44$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.68650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd57…c7e2backed Golden Knights47c34.04$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.041533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-39.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf696…7f0ebacked Golden Knights49c32.88$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.77475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+29.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf81e…ab79backed Jets76c32.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252060%12 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf32…10c5backed Jets51c32.4$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+42.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b0…dce8backed Golden Knights49c32.32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2931…4064backed Jets51c32.32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.48650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bbc…050fbacked Golden Knights47c32.26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.09560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9316…7f2abacked Golden Knights49c32.25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.44425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-49%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb641…742dbacked Golden Knights46c31.94$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.24475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+47%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Golden Knights45c31.88$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.534645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.