Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87a9bf855f88abca6aa3da5301840cd0c689c32ee00c16a3d829c001c86c1a7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Over | 3c | 6,700$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.36 | 95 | 9.5%9 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…b287backed Over | 2c | 3,333$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 239 | 15.9%38 W · 201 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Over | 8c | 1,800$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Over | 50c | 1,367$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Under | 33c | 1,265$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.64 | 201 | 51.7%104 W · 97 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 40c | 838.36$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.62 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 49c | 660$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.4 | 211 | 37.4%79 W · 132 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Under | 47c | 527.62$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.26 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a09…3c83backed Over | 69c | 511.34$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Over | 54c | 493.62$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 840 | 41%344 W · 496 L | -38.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Under | 51c | 493.33$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.73 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Over | 10c | 299.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 8.6%5 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Under | 48c | 221.44$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.15 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…0613backed Under | 20c | 140.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.66 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x924f…d049backed Under | 24c | 125.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.49 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 14c | 120.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.58 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b28…db7fbacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Under | 51c | 61.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…27ffbacked Under | 56c | 26.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 130 | 40.8%53 W · 77 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)LNG Esports won
- LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 WinnerLNG Esports won
- LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLNG Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.