Tennis · resolved market
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Champaign, IL (USA), hard: Zachary Viiala vs Marko Mesarovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87d1dd113c22ae542ff138eb1868dab2218e21b69a9c5b493145d71b6980413f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marko Mesarovicof Zachary Viiala, Marko Mesarovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Marko Mesarovic | 75c | 675.28$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.82 | 8,921 | 42.6%3,799 W · 5,122 L | -169.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Marko Mesarovic | 74c | 543.83$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.77 | 726 | 38.3%278 W · 448 L | -34.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zachary Viiala | 29c | 534.39$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.19 | 8,127 | 50.8%4,126 W · 4,001 L | +84.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Zachary Viiala | 23c | 472$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.3 | 553 | 51.9%287 W · 266 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Zachary Viiala | 34c | 448.71$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.56 | 1,104 | 49.7%549 W · 555 L | +46.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e3…aaf2backed Zachary Viiala | 53c | 441$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.73 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Marko Mesarovic | 48c | 422.1$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.01 | 617 | 46.2%285 W · 332 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Marko Mesarovic | 79c | 417.33$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.34 | 877 | 38.2%335 W · 542 L | -21.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Marko Mesarovic | 76c | 340.3$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.85 | 1,398 | 39.1%546 W · 852 L | -25.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50d7…f9bbbacked Zachary Viiala | 47c | 283.91$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 99 | 32.3%32 W · 67 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Marko Mesarovic | 70c | 243.48$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.14 | 2,076 | 52.9%1,099 W · 977 L | +33.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Zachary Viiala | 11c | 232.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 4,708 | 48.3%2,275 W · 2,433 L | +36.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Zachary Viiala | 16c | 170.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 1,109 | 48%532 W · 577 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Marko Mesarovic | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 2,545 | 51.2%1,303 W · 1,242 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Zachary Viiala | 29c | 115.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 3,952 | 55.1%2,176 W · 1,776 L | +107.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Marko Mesarovic | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 4,081 | 45.7%1,867 W · 2,214 L | -30.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Marko Mesarovic | 52c | 43.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 9,267 | 36.2%3,352 W · 5,915 L | -199.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Zachary Viiala | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 924 | 41.2%381 W · 543 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1f…f078backed Marko Mesarovic | 48c | 37.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4f…000ebacked Marko Mesarovic | 78c | 16.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.