CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Fake do Biru - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x887ec07516327bdd8d57d5f7f139b3ac52e47862c8fa944dbc9c64bcee88918a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fake do Biruof ODDIK, Fake do Biru
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked ODDIK | 46c | 2,228$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.32 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Fake do Biru | 53c | 2,105$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.07 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ODDIK | 53c | 693.83$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.09 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Fake do Biru | 51c | 620$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.7 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ff…a353backed Fake do Biru | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.12 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed ODDIK | 59c | 152.09$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.28 | 157 | 38.2%60 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5b…3772backed Fake do Biru | 37c | 91.49$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.74 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a5…5303backed ODDIK | 55c | 60.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Fake do Biru | 32c | 35.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Fake do Biru | 32c | 32.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…f07ebacked ODDIK | 66c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed ODDIK | 64c | 18.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Fake do Biru - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 PlayoffsFake do Biru won
- Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Fake do Biru - Map 1 WinnerFake do Biru won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.