Other European Leagues · resolved market
PEC Zwolle vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88a5e57ce00558657c0a20d30cfdfb353f2eb91f783957bcd0dfc758be60e9b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf763…414fbacked Over | 43c | 8,626$3,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,741 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 5,597$3,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.02 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 56c | 5,231$2,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,293.08 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 38c | 4,589$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.67 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 52c | 2,860$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.88 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 42c | 700$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 56c | 683.04$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.54 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Over | 33c | 460$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 58c | 444$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.48 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 60c | 334.42$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.77 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Over | 42c | 321.43$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.25per pick | 36cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…07f2backed Over | 42c | 240.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 57c | 183$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.79 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Under | 55c | 68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Under | 77c | 55.1$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x554b…5e48backed Over | 30c | 49.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 56c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Under | 28c | 40.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Over | 39c | 39.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…78cebacked Over | 41c | 36.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c1…80b0backed Under | 69c | 27.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…007dbacked Under | 59c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 69c | 21.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 58c | 19.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b5…93abbacked Under | 60c | 18.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffba…d72abacked Under | 60c | 16.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PEC Zwolle vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 3.5this page
- PEC Zwolle vs. SC Heerenveen: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- PEC Zwolle vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 1.5Over won
- PEC Zwolle vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.