CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: ex-MANA (-1.5) vs STEP (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x893a206c14b4bf653c3e0c27c62d72225ab2293596167df89ac21ce5b38445a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- STEPof ex-MANA eSports, STEP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd761…56e3backed STEP | 60c | 6,301$3,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,505.42 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…e230backed ex-MANA eSports | 40c | 2,979$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.71 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked ex-MANA eSports | 40c | 2,634$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 361 | 45.4%164 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed STEP | 61c | 499.99$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed STEP | 77c | 300.83$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.79 | 618 | 55%340 W · 278 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked ex-MANA eSports | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 547 | 43.7%239 W · 308 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8562…0a61backed ex-MANA eSports | 40c | 251$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…6197backed ex-MANA eSports | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked ex-MANA eSports | 40c | 235.8$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.32 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed STEP | 79c | 204.04$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.41 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked ex-MANA eSports | 40c | 167.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked STEP | 60c | 145.5$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.66 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked ex-MANA eSports | 40c | 140.66$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb08…845cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 25c | 103.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked ex-MANA eSports | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed ex-MANA eSports | 23c | 85.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed STEP | 60c | 70$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked ex-MANA eSports | 23c | 67.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 22c | 57.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed STEP | 58c | 36.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 213 | 60.1%128 W · 85 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ex-MANA eSports | 38c | 31.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: ex-MANA (-1.5) vs STEP (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs STEP (BO3) - United21 PlayoffsSTEP won
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs STEP - Map 1 WinnerSTEP won
- Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs STEP - Map 2 WinnerSTEP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.