Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89c4e974283267c3c3d5cd520d0a79c2797e419e9787d000deaf00334cfc7692
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Swansea City AFCof Coventry City FC, Swansea City AFC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Coventry City FC | 32c | 1,638$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.97 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Swansea City AFC | 68c | 1,106$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.2 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Swansea City AFC | 65c | 734.28$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.4 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Coventry City FC | 36c | 213.82$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.98 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Coventry City FC | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Swansea City AFC | 66c | 89.68$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Coventry City FC | 28c | 87.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 239 | 20.9%50 W · 189 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Swansea City AFC | 62c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Coventry City FC | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Swansea City AFC | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Swansea City AFC | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)this page
- Coventry City FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Coventry City FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Coventry City FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Coventry City FC vs. Swansea City AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.