CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a3c9b30d1caa737d74dc4c49e09211fafd633dd3022811a70423c9102525d1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-MANA eSportsof Passion Academy, ex-MANA eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,204
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,204 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Passion Academy | 51c | 1,355$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.74 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Passion Academy | 32c | 1,200$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.99 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-MANA eSports | 58c | 1,018$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.98 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-MANA eSports | 69c | 366.26$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.35 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-MANA eSports | 69c | 343.55$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…cec3backed ex-MANA eSports | 49c | 290.17$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.17 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Passion Academy | 52c | 251.62$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.84 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 77c | 234.7$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.95 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed ex-MANA eSports | 48c | 199.47$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.09 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3d…51b8backed ex-MANA eSports | 48c | 185.42$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.42 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Passion Academy | 20c | 146.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Passion Academy | 25c | 141.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked ex-MANA eSports | 55c | 125.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.44 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked ex-MANA eSports | 48c | 116.28$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Passion Academy | 49c | 93.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 397 | 72.5%288 W · 109 L | +38.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ex-MANA eSports | 75c | 93$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed ex-MANA eSports | 51c | 74.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed ex-MANA eSports | 70c | 69$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed ex-MANA eSports | 70c | 67.71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked ex-MANA eSports | 48c | 59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed ex-MANA eSports | 65c | 52.96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed ex-MANA eSports | 75c | 47.35$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Passion Academy | 53c | 43.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Passion Academy | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Passion Academy | 48c | 20.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked ex-MANA eSports | 70c | 15.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked ex-MANA eSports | 73c | 14.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Group Dex-MANA eSports won
- Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 2 WinnerPassion Academy won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: ex-MANA eSports (-3.5) vs Passion Academy (+3.5)ex-MANA eSports won
- Map Handicap: ex-MANA (-1.5) vs Passion Academy (+1.5)Passion Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.