Asian League · resolved market
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Gangwon FC: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a3e3ef836e29d4787db8f255411b272d2e99ab3a7165141f7fe8b21e100f8c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41de…deedbacked Under | 45c | 779.58$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.77 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over | 55c | 541.7$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.43 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4acb…ddd3backed Under | 43c | 471.64$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.37 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 57c | 288.96$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.71 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d102backed Over | 55c | 228.51$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 56c | 146.46$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.75 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 45c | 136.9$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.92 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…a7b7backed Over | 54c | 112.39$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…4c18backed Over | 55c | 90.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 46c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 240 | 61.7%148 W · 92 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Over | 55c | 52.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 55c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Over | 55c | 27.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.