Tennis · resolved market
Kingston: Roger Pascual Ferra vs Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a40216aee74bb8abc68f5e1db9b58d610cab510b24b3ad9bc1b95db63b2a0b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Roger Pascual Ferraof Roger Pascual Ferra, Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 19c | 5,011$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.07 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Roger Pascual Ferra | 80c | 2,913$2,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.36 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 11c | 1,005$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.3 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbe…7833backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 20c | 805.93$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.93 | 151 | 15.9%24 W · 127 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 17c | 476$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.23 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 12c | 336.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 18c | 305.72$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.02 | 1,476 | 43.8%647 W · 829 L | -26.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1840…fbd1backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 6c | 199.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…a6c0backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 7c | 178.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 28c | 98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Roger Pascual Ferra | 79c | 97.47$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 12c | 91.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,868 | 49.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L | +23.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 27c | 74.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 18c | 60.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 792 | 38.3%303 W · 489 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | 26c | 53.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 381 | 48.3%184 W · 197 L | +28.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Roger Pascual Ferra | 73c | 47.14$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 1,085 | 73.7%800 W · 285 L | +40.8wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Roger Pascual Ferra | 73c | 32.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 1,022 | 57.8%591 W · 431 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Roger Pascual Ferra | 78c | 25.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 1,254 | 52.1%653 W · 601 L | +45.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Roger Pascual Ferra | 77c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.