Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a5f918368eb97bb45f13de0299eecbd26b4bc29b1e8b7bab72738fc71ca48cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marquette Golden Eaglesof Connecticut Huskies, Marquette Golden Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,116 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 51c | 15,510$7,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,599.81 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Connecticut Huskies | 49c | 13,540$6,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,634.37 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Connecticut Huskies | 49c | 1,598$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.09 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 1,333$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.37 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Connecticut Huskies | 48c | 727.96$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.2 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Connecticut Huskies | 48c | 647.72$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.92 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 51c | 499.97$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.99 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 381.26$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Connecticut Huskies | 48c | 342$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.92 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Connecticut Huskies | 49c | 303.44$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 53c | 278.49$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.8 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 52c | 275.49$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.16 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 50c | 234.02$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.01 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 51c | 225$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Connecticut Huskies | 50c | 199.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Connecticut Huskies | 46c | 168.73$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.61 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd598…c67cbacked Connecticut Huskies | 50c | 167.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.27 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Connecticut Huskies | 41c | 122.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.37 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Connecticut Huskies | 44c | 103.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Connecticut Huskies | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Connecticut Huskies | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Connecticut Huskies | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…176bbacked Connecticut Huskies | 49c | 81.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Connecticut Huskies | 49c | 80.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Marquette Golden Eagles | 49c | 80.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 225 | 44.9%101 W · 124 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Connecticut Huskies | 51c | 68.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Connecticut Huskies | 49c | 65.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Connecticut Huskies | 48c | 49.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Connecticut Huskies | 49c | 40.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…8bb1backed Connecticut Huskies | 49c | 32.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4168…a631backed Connecticut Huskies | 49c | 31.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Marquette Golden Eagles | 59c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Connecticut Huskies | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Connecticut Huskies | 48c | 21.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-9.5)this page
- Connecticut Huskies vs. Marquette Golden EaglesMarquette Golden Eagles won
- Connecticut Huskies vs. Marquette Golden Eagles: O/U 143.5Under won
- Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-8.5)Marquette Golden Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.