TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Georgia State Panthers vs. South Alabama Jaguars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
South Alabama Jaguarsof Georgia State Panthers, South Alabama Jaguars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,360
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,005

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,360 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa302…6c3fbacked Georgia State Panthers8c1,356$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.495910.2%6 W · 53 L-8.3wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-66.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Georgia State Panthers29c1,267$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3691,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Georgia State Panthers12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed South Alabama Jaguars77c979.48$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.873,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Georgia State Panthers14c600$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Georgia State Panthers13c269.52$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.231,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Georgia State Panthers22c196$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.795,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Georgia State Panthers15c148$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.612,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89ad…5e22backed Georgia State Panthers31c106$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.865549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Georgia State Panthers13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.21,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Georgia State Panthers20c85.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9166831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Georgia State Panthers32c81$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.926451.6%33 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed South Alabama Jaguars70c57.29$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3953646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Georgia State Panthers19c54.02$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.11,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Georgia State Panthers31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.52,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd43a…f530backed South Alabama Jaguars69c45$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.953056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Georgia State Panthers31c45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.956750.7%34 W · 33 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Georgia State Panthers30c43.06$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3517…9f8dbacked South Alabama Jaguars69c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.42774.1%20 W · 7 L+6.0wins+0.22per pick52cpaid+44.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xda03…7f8cbacked South Alabama Jaguars68c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.82871.4%20 W · 8 L+5.3wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+40.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed South Alabama Jaguars69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.364658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecc2…eeefbacked South Alabama Jaguars75c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.57272.2%52 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd411…e342backed South Alabama Jaguars69c28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.683366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf26c…3443backed South Alabama Jaguars68c26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.323141.9%13 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf33d…1969backed South Alabama Jaguars69c26$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.062766.7%18 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x44a0…6fbdbacked South Alabama Jaguars74c20.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.271392.3%12 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick72cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x60a6…7ed2backed South Alabama Jaguars68c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.82369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+21.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.