CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FOKUS REALITY (BO1) - Urban Riga Open #3 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b011ff8e64343e3bf1133e4f1995a5f9987feb7f81b272a0a830406e0edede9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 3DMAXof 3DMAX, FOKUS REALITY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,434 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed FOKUS REALITY | 13c | 2,500$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.99 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed FOKUS REALITY | 10c | 1,421$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.91 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…3d9dbacked FOKUS REALITY | 11c | 1,420$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.21 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x860a…1a30backed FOKUS REALITY | 15c | 1,377$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d3…a244backed FOKUS REALITY | 15c | 1,049$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1528…e141backed FOKUS REALITY | 7c | 998.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc414…d870backed FOKUS REALITY | 6c | 861.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed 3DMAX | 73c | 553.81$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.81 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6df…1cf4backed FOKUS REALITY | 21c | 537.98$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FOKUS REALITY | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc093…de0ebacked FOKUS REALITY | 18c | 245$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed FOKUS REALITY | 11c | 213.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FOKUS REALITY | 18c | 153.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked FOKUS REALITY | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed FOKUS REALITY | 15c | 149.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed FOKUS REALITY | 12c | 133.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 61 | 6.6%4 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c38…13b1backed FOKUS REALITY | 26c | 132.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc08…ed4fbacked FOKUS REALITY | 16c | 114$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked FOKUS REALITY | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a42…4930backed FOKUS REALITY | 12c | 85.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad02…d5e5backed FOKUS REALITY | 16c | 82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…987ebacked FOKUS REALITY | 16c | 72.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked FOKUS REALITY | 26c | 72.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed FOKUS REALITY | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed 3DMAX | 75c | 51.26$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked FOKUS REALITY | 22c | 50.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7721…e537backed 3DMAX | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…7c8bbacked FOKUS REALITY | 27c | 45.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…51b7backed FOKUS REALITY | 29c | 40.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed 3DMAX | 80c | 30.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked 3DMAX | 79c | 28.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…09febacked 3DMAX | 78c | 25.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked 3DMAX | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf8…99f4backed 3DMAX | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.