Tennis · resolved market
Rio Open, Qualification: Daniel Galan vs Dino Prizmic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b38ee573a8a04c6aacfee99a1e7479afbfab1827b7d7ba01c62962cb574f7f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Prizmicof Galan, Prizmic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Prizmic | 71c | 1,242$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.28 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Galan | 29c | 1,200$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Galan | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Galan | 32c | 486.51$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.96 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Prizmic | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Galan | 29c | 346.91$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Galan | 27c | 185$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Prizmic | 71c | 183.1$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Prizmic | 69c | 152$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.12 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Prizmic | 68c | 142$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f82cbacked Galan | 27c | 136.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Prizmic | 71c | 130$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…d3febacked Prizmic | 71c | 128$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Prizmic | 75c | 118.89$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Galan | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Prizmic | 77c | 94.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Galan | 26c | 93.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Galan | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Galan | 28c | 58.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Prizmic | 68c | 50.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked Prizmic | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 136 | 58.8%80 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Galan | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Galan | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Prizmic | 70c | 49.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Galan | 30c | 47.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87b9…b193backed Prizmic | 74c | 45.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 258 | 62.4%161 W · 97 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Galan | 26c | 39.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Prizmic | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd7…db07backed Prizmic | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | -14.6wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f4…335fbacked Prizmic | 74c | 23.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 244 | 74.2%181 W · 63 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Prizmic | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 164 | 68.9%113 W · 51 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rio Open, Qualification: Daniel Galan vs Dino Prizmicthis page
- Set Handicap: Prizmic (-1.5) vs Galan (+1.5)Prizmic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.