Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8bd243c5fb60082925f751d7f366ae5208bdba802fe78a40604157a201e4013c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shopify Rebellion Blackof Evil Geniuses Academy, Shopify Rebellion Black
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 65c | 1,565$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.87 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 35c | 1,078$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.35 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 35c | 377.14$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abc…9ff7backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 23c | 267.88$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 64c | 241$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.93 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0028…fdc6backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 37c | 109.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 54c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…5e03backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 58c | 47.62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7721…e537backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 69c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 36c | 42.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 63c | 19.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stagethis page
- Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs Shopify Rebellion Black - Map 2 WinnerShopify Rebellion Black won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.