Asian League · resolved market
Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c08a8c42388bd74e16eefcc7ce73ce537788a4de8c36d167fa98747a570d747
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 16c | 1,804$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.35 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 79c | 1,322$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.86 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 21c | 891.99$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.32 | 294 | 32%94 W · 200 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 19c | 624.62$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.66 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Over | 7c | 467.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 21c | 370.51$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.81 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 79c | 253.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 86 | 67.4%58 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 22c | 158.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 21c | 97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Under | 79c | 94.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 20c | 78.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaee…2fffbacked Under | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…90a8backed Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0cccbacked Under | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 76c | 17.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: Gimcheon Sangmu FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-1.5)Pohang Steelers FC won
- Spread: Pohang Steelers FC (-1.5)Gimcheon Sangmu FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.