Asian League · resolved market
Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9d66cbf94b184c2ecbdcdbc3e1ed95cb9857f573c3555a47b852dd428d86dea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 17c | 4,445$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.13 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Over | 44c | 3,409$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Under | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 56c | 895.44$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.96 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 56c | 892$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.48 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 56c | 892$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.48 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 58c | 831$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.81 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 41c | 631.1$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.86 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 15c | 520.19$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.35 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 42c | 452.32$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.98 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1372…4ce0backed Under | 79c | 446.66$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.81 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 56c | 373.64$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.94 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 56c | 306.07$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.61 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 72c | 268.75$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.06 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 75c | 252.35$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 58c | 151.66$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 16c | 106.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Under | 57c | 87.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 58c | 77.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 57c | 74$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a5…307abacked Under | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…6d4abacked Over | 43c | 67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +41%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 60c | 33.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 57c | 32.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under | 56c | 26.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed Under | 57c | 22.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: Gimcheon Sangmu FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Pohang Steelers FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-1.5)Pohang Steelers FC won
- Spread: Pohang Steelers FC (-1.5)Gimcheon Sangmu FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.