Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs FunPlus Phoenix (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c0fc2a451a1e9e4226f8bd57d97afbd4670fb35a8c9fe36f2ef2008c39c6a4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FunPlus Phoenixof JD Gaming, FunPlus Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked FunPlus Phoenix | 69c | 704.92$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.2 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed FunPlus Phoenix | 71c | 692.86$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.93 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed JD Gaming | 29c | 326.84$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.78 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -8.0wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked JD Gaming | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed JD Gaming | 31c | 220.48$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.35 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed FunPlus Phoenix | 70c | 193.06$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.92 | 208 | 40.9%85 W · 123 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed JD Gaming | 30c | 120.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.22 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked JD Gaming | 29c | 110$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked JD Gaming | 31c | 105.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed JD Gaming | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed JD Gaming | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FunPlus Phoenix | 71c | 54.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed JD Gaming | 30c | 39.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed JD Gaming | 30c | 37.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 159 | 31.4%50 W · 109 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs FunPlus Phoenix (+1.5)this page
- Valorant: JD Gaming vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - VCT China Group AlphaJD Gaming won
- Valorant: JD Gaming vs FunPlus Phoenix - Map 1 WinnerJD Gaming won
- Valorant: JD Gaming vs FunPlus Phoenix - Map 2 WinnerFunPlus Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.