Euroleague · resolved market
Burgos vs. Barcelona
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ccb050278147e5dff90ad981d3071fd6756c1f81eea51afe7325ff9e8552d4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barcelonaof Burgos, Barcelona
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Burgos | 22c | 2,321$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.3 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…9467backed Barcelona | 67c | 1,030$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.89 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Burgos | 25c | 970$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Burgos | 29c | 514.8$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Barcelona | 66c | 490.41$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.41 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Burgos | 14c | 400$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Burgos | 30c | 335.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Burgos | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Burgos | 11c | 153.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Burgos | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Burgos | 19c | 149.95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Burgos | 24c | 114.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Burgos | 16c | 89.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.