Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Darderi (-2.5) vs Comesana (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ccf6f0112015ea0fa743bd44f55b42be39b12bc18412e8b05e879b65a86873e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Comesanaof Darderi, Comesana
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45e4…7e20backed Comesana | 68c | 1,123$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.36 | 187 | 47.6%89 W · 98 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Darderi | 31c | 1,000$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.7 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Comesana | 69c | 904.41$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.37 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…e019backed Comesana | 69c | 670$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.4 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Darderi | 32c | 656.47$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.07 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Darderi | 32c | 516.8$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.88 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Darderi | 32c | 310.02$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.21 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Darderi | 32c | 301.38$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.44 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Comesana | 68c | 183.25$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.64 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Comesana | 70c | 130$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d6…551abacked Darderi | 32c | 103.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d6…b5c9backed Darderi | 49c | 81.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Comesana | 52c | 41.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed Darderi | 32c | 41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Darderi | 32c | 33.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Comesana | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x967b…46babacked Comesana | 55c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…cebabacked Comesana | 65c | 16.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Darderi (-2.5) vs Comesana (+2.5)this page
- Comesana vs. Darderi: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Francisco Comesana vs. Luciano Darderi: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Luciano DarderiFrancisco Comesana won
- Set 1 Winner: Comesana vs DarderiComesana won
- Set Handicap: Darderi (-1.5) vs Comesana (+1.5)Comesana won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.