Premier League · resolved market
Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d07448688eb34e2a5292f4dec2e8591256e4805a96ded4dc415cf8244328401
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 33c | 453.32$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.03 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 420.55$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.22 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 29c | 412.16$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.46 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 330.44$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.73 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4c…39c0backed Under | 8c | 207.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2549…91f5backed Under | 63c | 150$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20d…2f01backed Under | 50c | 113.93$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2f…a2b7backed Under | 50c | 113.34$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…5846backed Under | 50c | 111.21$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e3…4e41backed Under | 50c | 111.07$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa292…d691backed Under | 50c | 110.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…78febacked Under | 50c | 110.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb2…b0cbbacked Under | 50c | 109.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa582…01eabacked Under | 50c | 109.05$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…6b73backed Under | 50c | 108.59$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x741a…ae6bbacked Under | 50c | 108.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a54…8428backed Under | 50c | 108.55$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa863…b1b7backed Under | 50c | 108.34$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe1…206dbacked Under | 50c | 107.03$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c77…b3d1backed Under | 50c | 106.3$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc988…c19fbacked Under | 50c | 106.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63fa…b6edbacked Under | 50c | 105.96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…606fbacked Under | 50c | 105.58$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2d…4af9backed Under | 50c | 104.72$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab70…fee1backed Under | 50c | 104.7$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…fb69backed Under | 50c | 104.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…4366backed Under | 50c | 104.59$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2c…00acbacked Under | 50c | 104.4$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9b…4233backed Under | 50c | 103.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa95…0817backed Under | 50c | 103.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa206…536bbacked Under | 50c | 103.48$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218a…181bbacked Under | 50c | 103.46$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd110…de23backed Under | 50c | 103.42$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb87f…f02ebacked Under | 50c | 103.36$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…5169backed Under | 50c | 102.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe77…8166backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ca…9009backed Under | 50c | 101.16$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 54c | 84.78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Over | 51c | 57.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.63 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 61c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 31c | 43.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 35.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 32c | 33.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 47c | 29.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 125 | 43.2%54 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 68c | 24.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Charlton Athletic FC (-1.5)Sheffield Wednesday FC won
- Spread: Charlton Athletic FC (-2.5)Sheffield Wednesday FC won
- Spread: Sheffield Wednesday FC (-1.5)Charlton Athletic FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.