CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Vasco Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d1a1c34262348cc8824069a179979a663388882b64f68ba661fa18e766f74a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBR Academyof MIBR Academy, Vasco Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MIBR Academy | 59c | 1,107$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.73 | 8,058 | 50.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L | +171.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Vasco Esports | 43c | 908.34$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.98 | 6,522 | 42.9%2,798 W · 3,724 L | -80.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04b…3ce0backed Vasco Esports | 52c | 748.6$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.45 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Vasco Esports | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed MIBR Academy | 56c | 522.08$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.01 | 1,205 | 54.5%657 W · 548 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…7a6abacked MIBR Academy | 44c | 447.55$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.59 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed MIBR Academy | 40c | 447.35$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.73 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Vasco Esports | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 434 | 37.6%163 W · 271 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vasco Esports | 50c | 228.05$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.69 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Vasco Esports | 43c | 219.39$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.34 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MIBR Academy | 57c | 200.62$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.27 | 5,137 | 55%2,826 W · 2,311 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed Vasco Esports | 53c | 183.96$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.16 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Vasco Esports | 52c | 138.94$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.66 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac5f…cd03backed MIBR Academy | 65c | 99.9$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked Vasco Esports | 35c | 96.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…c252backed Vasco Esports | 34c | 86.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Vasco Esports | 33c | 79.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked MIBR Academy | 64c | 79.03$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab1…86e3backed Vasco Esports | 40c | 48.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3145…fcf5backed MIBR Academy | 52c | 32.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed MIBR Academy | 58c | 23.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked Vasco Esports | 65c | 20.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 337 | 57.3%193 W · 144 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Vasco Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Vasco Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 PlayoffsMIBR Academy won
- Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Vasco Esports - Map 2 WinnerMIBR Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.