Premier League · resolved market
Cambridge United FC vs. Barnet FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d3c6f3843226373d7c904f9ea0c0d65aead1e87ac483aa9b41ee38bcdf45cf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 13c | 3,386$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,945.54 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 1,737$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.06 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 73c | 782.15$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.36 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 31c | 749.99$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.49 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 52c | 208$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.7 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 64c | 186.03$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.2 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…4f9dbacked Over | 68c | 183.41$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 7c | 161.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 152 | 63.2%96 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9570…17c0backed Over | 49c | 98.53$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 49c | 85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc431…8b31backed Over | 15c | 77.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 67c | 76.64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Over | 47c | 63.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8009…ca1bbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.36per pick | 46cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 52c | 37.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x468b…68a5backed Over | 35c | 34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 51c | 27.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 72c | 21.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cambridge United FC vs. Barnet FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Cambridge United FC vs. Barnet FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Cambridge United FC vs. Barnet FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Cambridge United FC vs. Barnet FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cambridge United FC vs. Barnet FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cambridge United FC vs. Barnet FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cambridge United FC vs. Barnet FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Barnet FC (-1.5)Cambridge United FC won
- Spread: Cambridge United FC (-1.5)Barnet FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.