Premier League · resolved market
Cambridge United FC vs. Barnet FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x032b48be141223c2572d23bdff7ee0ca0b480dfe8215cce8774aa3970673efbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 2,646$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.48 | 755 | 42.3%319 W · 436 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 2,526$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.09 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 59c | 2,171$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.51 | 953 | 32.5%310 W · 643 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 1,529$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.75 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc283…b876backed Over | 37c | 1,508$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.92 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 49c | 1,455$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.57 | 812 | 34.7%282 W · 530 L | -24.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…4f9dbacked Over | 73c | 836.29$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.8 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 43c | 90.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.63 | 541 | 32.9%178 W · 363 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Over | 75c | 80.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 53c | 77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 25c | 64.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Over | 37c | 62.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 27c | 57.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 59c | 53.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…3447backed Over | 42c | 51.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 53c | 48.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 63c | 44.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 578 | 47.8%276 W · 302 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 60c | 38.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 59c | 35.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 55c | 33.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 273 | 56.4%154 W · 119 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 50c | 32.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5e…9d93backed Over | 38c | 32.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 55c | 24.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477c…fe04backed Under | 64c | 15.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cambridge United FC vs. Barnet FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Cambridge United FC vs. Barnet FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Cambridge United FC vs. Barnet FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Cambridge United FC vs. Barnet FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Cambridge United FC vs. Barnet FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cambridge United FC vs. Barnet FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cambridge United FC vs. Barnet FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Barnet FC (-1.5)Cambridge United FC won
- Spread: Cambridge United FC (-1.5)Barnet FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.