TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs The Last Resort - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
The Last Resortof Rune Eaters, The Last Resort
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,862

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,862 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72aa…90e0backed The Last Resort38c585.76$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.634,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Rune Eaters21c492.14$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6780744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x227f…405dbacked The Last Resort55c480$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2162454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c5a…acc3backed Rune Eaters44c480$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.22634.6%9 W · 17 L-5.2wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-37.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked The Last Resort45c434$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.73,23651.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L+88.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed The Last Resort18c238.33$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.386,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49b…a5b8backed Rune Eaters75c209.7$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.0313347.4%63 W · 70 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed The Last Resort48c197.92$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9213436.6%49 W · 85 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Rune Eaters61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked The Last Resort72c121$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.672,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Rune Eaters78c83.5$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.131,05157.2%601 W · 450 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked Rune Eaters75c66.03$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.351,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed The Last Resort42c24.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.159326.9%25 W · 68 L-10.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.