CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d9d82706801aa819e5ffbe91b74e94963239610d4a7f97b5ef4accc41f413e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fireof Nuclear TigeRES, Eternal Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 47c | 616.36$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.44 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…c1c3backed Eternal Fire | 59c | 552.73$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.58 | 55 | 74.5%41 W · 14 L | +10.6wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +36%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Eternal Fire | 35c | 446.52$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.01 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…95f5backed Nuclear TigeRES | 9c | 260.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 65c | 218.92$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.12 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Eternal Fire | 48c | 184.85$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.49 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked Eternal Fire | 36c | 175.25$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.36 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Eternal Fire | 49c | 175.05$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa03c…f557backed Eternal Fire | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Eternal Fire | 50c | 138$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nuclear TigeRES | 50c | 126.17$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.52 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Eternal Fire | 51c | 111$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nuclear TigeRES | 54c | 106.26$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Nuclear TigeRES | 63c | 95.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Nuclear TigeRES | 22c | 83.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…e92bbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 146 | 58.2%85 W · 61 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Eternal Fire | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Nuclear TigeRES | 45c | 40.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Nuclear TigeRES | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked Eternal Fire | 65c | 30.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Nuclear TigeRES | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Nuclear TigeRES | 56c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…55c2backed Eternal Fire | 54c | 20.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageEternal Fire won
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 WinnerEternal Fire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.