TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will Lee Jun-seok endorse Lee Jae-myung?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$603,329
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,822

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $603,329 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c23,028$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.224121%4 W · 408 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick0cpaid+171.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2450…d38fbacked Yes0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7678…e5f0backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104623.9%11 W · 35 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-31.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…8a3abacked Yes1c6,996$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dd6…4557backed Yes1c6,996$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x250e…cec1backed Yes1c6,996$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b28…9894backed Yes1c6,996$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddf8…3830backed Yes1c6,896$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1ae…4a6cbacked Yes1c6,896$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x202b…63dabacked Yes1c6,896$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafb9…a515backed Yes1c6,896$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85dd…ce53backed Yes1c6,896$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2631…b4aebacked Yes1c5,322$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96f1…46b1backed Yes1c5,322$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2370…9722backed Yes1c5,322$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcba4…b393backed Yes1c5,322$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…61c8backed Yes1c5,322$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d06…aeabbacked Yes1c5,222$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c04…b14fbacked Yes1c5,222$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd972…60bcbacked Yes1c5,222$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb0f…6c49backed Yes1c5,222$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaf8…2f78backed Yes1c5,222$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0c5…6105backed Yes1c5,222$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161c…530fbacked Yes1c5,222$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5fb…1798backed Yes1c5,222$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb256…b412backed Yes1c5,222$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8afe…f111backed Yes1c5,222$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e70…5f80backed Yes1c5,222$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb71b…70edbacked Yes1c5,222$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe151…8db8backed Yes1c5,222$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b67…47ebbacked Yes1c5,222$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef43…11b5backed Yes1c5,222$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bd8…fbb3backed Yes1c5,222$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e3e…9de3backed Yes1c5,222$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7ed…9c09backed Yes1c5,222$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db0…fc6cbacked Yes1c5,222$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6cd…fac6backed Yes1c5,222$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72ea…53b2backed Yes1c5,222$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f3e…a600backed Yes1c5,222$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x696d…a4fbbacked Yes1c5,222$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dce…b8acbacked Yes1c5,222$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x064c…aeb0backed Yes1c5,222$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95c8…5972backed Yes1c5,122$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a42…a38fbacked Yes1c5,122$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x276f…0bacbacked Yes1c5,122$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25a3…e213backed Yes1c5,122$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes1c3,788$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.474521.1%5 W · 447 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick0cpaid+156.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26c1…ff21backed Yes1c3,548$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b36…477bbacked Yes1c3,548$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfec…e0b7backed Yes1c3,548$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fd5…e110backed Yes1c3,548$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde0c…dfc2backed Yes1c3,548$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde7e…950dbacked Yes1c3,548$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99e4…9750backed Yes1c3,548$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a0f…04b5backed Yes1c3,548$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…c4fdbacked Yes1c3,548$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ce4…84ccbacked Yes1c3,548$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30fc…1be1backed Yes1c3,548$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe095…d9bbbacked Yes1c3,548$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6f5…39a8backed Yes1c3,548$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e7d…076bbacked Yes1c3,548$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1581…c505backed Yes1c3,548$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17ae…19d2backed Yes1c3,548$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf59c…e4ddbacked Yes1c3,548$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe003…e255backed Yes1c3,448$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a5…8040backed Yes1c3,448$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf315…e1cebacked Yes1c3,448$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39db…d400backed Yes1c3,448$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15ac…343abacked Yes1c3,448$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x861d…2974backed Yes1c3,448$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda30…f4b5backed Yes1c3,448$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x862b…3ffdbacked Yes1c3,448$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa675…8648backed Yes1c3,448$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce0…0b96backed Yes1c3,448$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ebf…5f49backed Yes1c3,448$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x356f…6929backed Yes1c3,448$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b90…b439backed Yes1c3,448$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dda…37c0backed Yes1c3,448$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x315b…a176backed Yes1c3,448$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb138…3090backed Yes1c3,448$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a84…582dbacked Yes1c3,448$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddff…f2adbacked Yes1c3,448$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83be…3946backed Yes1c3,448$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1633…e673backed Yes1c3,448$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0e7…88b9backed Yes1c3,448$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x761b…69f0backed Yes1c3,448$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83f…7ae3backed Yes1c3,448$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4935…8d21backed Yes1c3,448$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0903…45adbacked Yes1c3,448$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7feb…7e40backed Yes1c3,448$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfed1…02bfbacked Yes1c3,448$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb15…65e4backed Yes1c3,348$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89bd…71cebacked Yes1c3,348$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33cb…220bbacked Yes2c3,265$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14fc…febabacked Yes2c3,265$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57e9…1720backed Yes1c1,774$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8049…13bdbacked Yes1c1,774$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b36…c3b7backed Yes1c1,774$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d84…5a7fbacked Yes1c1,774$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa72d…725dbacked Yes1c1,774$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.