Asian League · resolved market
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-07-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dd4e459b8ed25eb4bf50b611568fcb3f1b9a57dd7e49947454bcb7b44293dd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0a2…56eebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 1c | 1,295$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 1c | 1,059$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e27…08edbacked No | 80c | 865.23$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 19c | 857.2$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.62 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 17c | 711.54$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.96 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 18c | 343.89$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.9 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 19c | 341.13$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.24 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e8…0039backed Yes | 5c | 276.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 17c | 227.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 22c | 160.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 20c | 157$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 18c | 140$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 80c | 140$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 18c | 117.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 294 | 32%94 W · 200 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 143 | 10.5%15 W · 128 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 22c | 92.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 78c | 75.14$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…22d8backed No | 79c | 73.29$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 19c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Yes | 21c | 59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.9wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…81a1backed No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 77cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-07-18?this page
- Will Gangwon FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-07-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.