CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8de89868664880533133769fd02ba8d6807f3fab1db7b6a02859f88d8a28274f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bushido Wildcatsof Donstu Esports, Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 42c | 4,400$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,544.87 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Donstu Esports | 65c | 3,629$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.83 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f27…4fb3backed Donstu Esports | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 43c | 1,082$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.41 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Donstu Esports | 58c | 845.26$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.75 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Donstu Esports | 64c | 699.99$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.06 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bushido Wildcats | 53c | 549.14$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.87 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bushido Wildcats | 46c | 475.93$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Donstu Esports | 46c | 400$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 184 | 32.6%60 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed Bushido Wildcats | 37c | 400$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 32c | 343$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.24 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Bushido Wildcats | 35c | 315.89$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.32 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Bushido Wildcats | 50c | 309.37$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.68 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Donstu Esports | 54c | 305$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.7 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Donstu Esports | 36c | 272.62$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.79 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Donstu Esports | 34c | 255.94$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.83 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0c…38edbacked Donstu Esports | 54c | 225.93$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Donstu Esports | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Donstu Esports | 46c | 190$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.05 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Donstu Esports | 46c | 190$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.05 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Bushido Wildcats | 50c | 188.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Donstu Esports | 47c | 168.37$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.35 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 50c | 162$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 244 | 47.1%115 W · 129 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Bushido Wildcats | 46c | 154.14$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.24 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0083…80fdbacked Bushido Wildcats | 75c | 130.74$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Bushido Wildcats | 50c | 116.38$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Donstu Esports | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Donstu Esports | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Donstu Esports | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Bushido Wildcats | 50c | 87.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb03b…4197backed Donstu Esports | 55c | 85.63$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Bushido Wildcats | 44c | 81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Donstu Esports | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Donstu Esports | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Bushido Wildcats | 46c | 70.54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Bushido Wildcats | 63c | 70$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Donstu Esports | 56c | 65.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 61c | 64.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Bushido Wildcats | 45c | 63.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79f2…c423backed Donstu Esports | 54c | 44.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc95e…102abacked Donstu Esports | 54c | 41.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Bushido Wildcats | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Donstu Esports | 48c | 20.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsBushido Wildcats won
- Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.