Lol · resolved market
LoL: Dark Passage vs PCIFIC - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e0e4cad7f1b91f5cb7a67b6f60ddd51a8d2e7be2ff591bb6e5f3b5801809af3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dark Passageof Dark Passage, PCIFIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Dark Passage | 48c | 1,041$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.38 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed PCIFIC | 42c | 718.37$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.97 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed PCIFIC | 54c | 639.8$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.79 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Dark Passage | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0e…9607backed PCIFIC | 44c | 431.8$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked PCIFIC | 52c | 342.93$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.44 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Dark Passage | 71c | 115$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 392 | 39%153 W · 239 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked Dark Passage | 45c | 104$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.36 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Dark Passage | 40c | 102.29$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.42 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Dark Passage | 36c | 93.41$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Dark Passage | 76c | 93.4$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc690…ec5bbacked Dark Passage | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 414 | 53.4%221 W · 193 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed Dark Passage | 53c | 52.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fc…2d90backed PCIFIC | 64c | 45.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed PCIFIC | 63c | 25.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Dark Passage vs PCIFIC - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Dark Passage vs PCIFIC (BO3) - TCL Group ADark Passage won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.