Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MODUS vs enjoy boys (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e5ccdad351a714c9d3dc1ae7f3611fa5a99f560d91739960c01f6a8451ba6bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MODUSof MODUS, enjoy boys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked MODUS | 75c | 655.94$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.88 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed enjoy boys | 25c | 430$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…022bbacked enjoy boys | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed enjoy boys | 23c | 199.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MODUS | 75c | 159.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.69 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked enjoy boys | 26c | 156.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked enjoy boys | 28c | 153.31$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed enjoy boys | 25c | 81.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked enjoy boys | 20c | 69.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MODUS | 75c | 46.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed MODUS | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed MODUS | 76c | 32.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed MODUS | 73c | 23.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9d…4f5fbacked MODUS | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked MODUS | 74c | 14.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MODUS vs enjoy boys (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: MODUS vs enjoy boys - Game 1 WinnerMODUS won
- Dota 2: MODUS vs enjoy boys - Game 2 WinnerMODUS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.