Other European Leagues · resolved market
Samsunspor vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e8163175302e61e63f4dacabe8d3066851ebeeaafd8c9aa336f639f77067f97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 41c | 1,395$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.35 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…3e93backed Over | 40c | 1,264$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 39c | 673.83$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.76 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 61c | 409$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.49 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 389.99$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.94 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x210a…1080backed Over | 64c | 304.21$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.66 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Under | 6c | 204.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fd…8e1abacked Over | 70c | 182.86$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.86 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc304…2c49backed Over | 54c | 179.92$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.76 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 56c | 179.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 60c | 149$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.04 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 78c | 128.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 61c | 116.75$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…380cbacked Over | 55c | 96.68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 61c | 88.7$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 72c | 84.26$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 64c | 78.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 73c | 72$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 59c | 66.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Under | 55c | 54.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 70c | 51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 39c | 51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 39c | 50.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Over | 62c | 45.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Under | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…1d02backed Over | 70c | 41.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 75c | 14.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Samsunspor vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5this page
- Samsunspor vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Samsunspor vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Samsunspor vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Samsunspor vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)Samsunspor won
- Spread: Galatasaray SK (-2.5)Samsunspor won
- Spread: Samsunspor (-1.5)Samsunspor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.