La Liga · resolved market
Real Sporting de Gijón vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ef0aa3db92aa6baa57209949df5ddc6d201b47ea4e676fca50e3aa37375dfad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 38c | 348.3$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.16 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 66c | 302.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.02 | 75 | 73.3%55 W · 20 L | +20.9wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 34c | 273.58$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.02 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Under | 57c | 241.31$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 58c | 159.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.79 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 101.82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.54 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Over | 43c | 74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Over | 44c | 59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 45c | 37.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Over | 43c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0853backed Under | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859a…1ccebacked Under | 57c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Over | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked Under | 57c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Under | 57c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Under | 57c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5this page
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. Málaga CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Sporting de Gijón vs. Málaga CF: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.