TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Akron Zips vs. Tulane Green Wave: O/U 163.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,554
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,541

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,554 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc1c9…96d9backed Under51c13,931$7,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,773.942951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c7,719$3,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,740.6912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Over49c2,164$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.1217650.6%89 W · 87 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98021050%105 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over48c746$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.084,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over48c416.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20082048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Over49c326$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.7412853.1%68 W · 60 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050546.9%237 W · 268 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed Under49c194$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.946950.7%35 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e46…0742backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c119.73$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.285,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Under52c96.68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2119055.3%105 W · 85 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2999…50bcbacked Over51c63$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.132454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeff8…1bcfbacked Under49c54$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.543246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fec…8dc3backed Over51c52$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.522445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Under53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.519851.5%102 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Over47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.532337.2%120 W · 203 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae69…0c24backed Over51c43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.932560%15 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca65…6746backed Over51c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.362857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb7…7959backed Over51c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.282548%12 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ee…f2d4backed Over51c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.261450%7 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.