Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Akron Zips vs. Tulane Green Wave
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6b0d8572c7d77b14d1167a5bfcbd30e9b5342b3dd388f128bc76f6f7056188b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Akron Zipsof Akron Zips, Tulane Green Wave
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked Akron Zips | 30c | 249$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.3 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +19.3wins | +0.27per pick | 22cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Akron Zips | 74c | 216$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.58 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tulane Green Wave | 34c | 203.69$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.36 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc4…bd5dbacked Tulane Green Wave | 5c | 201$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Tulane Green Wave | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Tulane Green Wave | 13c | 170$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd53…a861backed Tulane Green Wave | 27c | 161$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Tulane Green Wave | 13c | 146.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 97 | 29.9%29 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Akron Zips | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Tulane Green Wave | 24c | 118.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Tulane Green Wave | 26c | 77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Akron Zips | 73c | 65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Akron Zips | 74c | 62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Akron Zips | 80c | 56.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed Akron Zips | 73c | 52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Akron Zips | 62c | 37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Akron Zips | 73c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Akron Zips | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Akron Zips vs. Tulane Green Wavethis page
- Akron Zips vs. Tulane Green Wave: O/U 163.5Under won
- Spread: Akron Zips (-7.5)Akron Zips won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.