CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Basement Bobs (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f1b0b3aa41c159dc5662b5773f524b909f10c9c8a768c691d2d1296a71f74df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Basement Bobsof Rune Eaters, Basement Bobs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Rune Eaters | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rune Eaters | 16c | 737.07$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.27 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Basement Bobs | 35c | 456.86$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.2 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6b…a179backed Basement Bobs | 41c | 355.06$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.07 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Basement Bobs | 28c | 292.76$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.79 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Basement Bobs | 32c | 288$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.97 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed Rune Eaters | 39c | 281.82$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Rune Eaters | 71c | 258.8$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.04 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…eb3abacked Basement Bobs | 47c | 213.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.9 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Rune Eaters | 27c | 200$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.64 | 700 | 32%224 W · 476 L | -45.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Rune Eaters | 58c | 174.86$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Rune Eaters | 69c | 173.15$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.47 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Rune Eaters | 32c | 159$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b2…dcc5backed Rune Eaters | 8c | 132$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Rune Eaters | 52c | 128.4$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rune Eaters | 67c | 118.55$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.37 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Rune Eaters | 51c | 109.57$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Rune Eaters | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Rune Eaters | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed Basement Bobs | 31c | 83.69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 148 | 39.9%59 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…e878backed Basement Bobs | 64c | 70.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Basement Bobs | 32c | 63.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.48 | 1,087 | 31.9%347 W · 740 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked Rune Eaters | 69c | 40.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed Basement Bobs | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…b680backed Basement Bobs | 62c | 37.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Rune Eaters | 39c | 36.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 408 | 56.9%232 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Basement Bobs | 32c | 32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed Rune Eaters | 70c | 28.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Basement Bobs | 77c | 26.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf949…5643backed Basement Bobs | 61c | 25.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Basement Bobs | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Basement Bobs | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Basement Bobs (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Basement Bobs - Map 1 WinnerBasement Bobs won
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Basement Bobs - Map 2 WinnerBasement Bobs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.