CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Basement Bobs - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedbcbc090cb302df8c2478101ffb47b9f997628ea88de9b02622e10d55a5b84f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Basement Bobsof Rune Eaters, Basement Bobs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,981
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,981 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Basement Bobs | 75c | 1,788$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.06 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Basement Bobs | 72c | 1,555$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.7 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Rune Eaters | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Basement Bobs | 73c | 842.6$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.5 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Rune Eaters | 19c | 700$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Rune Eaters | 10c | 678.83$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rune Eaters | 22c | 542.16$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.68 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8083…0b28backed Rune Eaters | 46c | 315$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.9 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Basement Bobs | 65c | 280.74$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.9 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Rune Eaters | 21c | 241.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.78 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Basement Bobs | 75c | 202.87$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.72 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Rune Eaters | 45c | 134.64$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Rune Eaters | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Basement Bobs | 79c | 95.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked Rune Eaters | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…8319backed Basement Bobs | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Basement Bobs | 75c | 20.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 157 | 65%102 W · 55 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Basement Bobs - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Basement Bobs (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Group BBasement Bobs won
- Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Basement Bobs - Map 1 WinnerBasement Bobs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.