Other European Leagues · resolved market
Brøndby IF vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f35f9212d1540a9613b82949f5af3508e2df6a78a10fea76345eb8b16172430
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 4,646$1,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,777.21 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 1,964$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.28 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 26c | 293.13$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.65 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 76c | 274.55$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.06 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 40c | 274.12$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.47 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 67c | 241.04$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.55 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 44c | 189.09$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 22c | 171.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Over | 32c | 143.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddb…a7a5backed Over | 31c | 140$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 32c | 101.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…dc9bbacked Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 65c | 97.03$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.17 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 35c | 92$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 65c | 79.51$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -12.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 71c | 68.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Under | 50c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 69c | 52.16$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Under | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 32c | 41.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Under | 66c | 37.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 58c | 34.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 40c | 32.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec44…d3bbbacked Under | 68c | 16.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brøndby IF vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 2.5this page
- Brøndby IF vs. FC Nordsjælland: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brøndby IF vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brøndby IF vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brøndby IF vs. FC Nordsjælland: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.