Tennis · resolved market
Set 3 Winner: Borges vs Boyer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f4e1cc3b0c58217f14d5c310be4d23a65c25b968b47cf351773653956194822
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Borgesof Borges, Boyer
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2529…548abacked Borges | 74c | 125$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 346 | 50.6%175 W · 171 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Borges | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 432 | 50.5%218 W · 214 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Borges | 75c | 94$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.26 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Boyer | 30c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Boyer | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…b6d7backed Borges | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Boyer | 21c | 66.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 335 | 50.1%168 W · 167 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Boyer | 29c | 57.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Borges | 71c | 57.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Borges | 77c | 20.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 3 Winner: Borges vs Boyerthis page
- Borges vs. Boyer: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Nuno Borges vs. Tristan Boyer: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Borges vs BoyerBorges won
- Set 2 Winner: Borges vs BoyerBorges won
- Set Handicap: Borges (-1.5) vs Boyer (+1.5)Borges won
- Set Handicap: Borges (-2.5) vs Boyer (+2.5)Borges won
- Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan BoyerNuno Borges won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.