Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Lehigh vs. Bucknell
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f903d73834033ca8a3f0eaee946cc8f7685d35a7fb607535b483a44c5a3b848
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucknellof Lehigh, Bucknell
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bucknell | 70c | 352.69$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Lehigh | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab9…3f5fbacked Bucknell | 68c | 177.14$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.14 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Lehigh | 33c | 159.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.21 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223b…c968backed Bucknell | 50c | 141$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a81…30e8backed Lehigh | 50c | 122$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Lehigh | 29c | 111.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391f…28bdbacked Bucknell | 50c | 98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x143b…154fbacked Lehigh | 50c | 98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c66…0f10backed Lehigh | 50c | 96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2323…b066backed Lehigh | 50c | 86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee74…d17ebacked Bucknell | 50c | 85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7311…6b60backed Lehigh | 53c | 82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8299…e38bbacked Bucknell | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Lehigh | 27c | 55.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Bucknell | 68c | 51.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Bucknell | 71c | 49.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe69f…52debacked Bucknell | 72c | 42.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc103…81e8backed Bucknell | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Bucknell | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafb9…8856backed Lehigh | 52c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…fe51backed Bucknell | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bb…a933backed Bucknell | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…c3a1backed Bucknell | 47c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6095…9f0fbacked Bucknell | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…5c38backed Bucknell | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb27…3196backed Bucknell | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa41a…cad7backed Lehigh | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba52…c5d8backed Lehigh | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8587…eba7backed Lehigh | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…a984backed Lehigh | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…010dbacked Bucknell | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7de…0300backed Lehigh | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.