South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Riestra end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8fe76b0375a2c68ba31baaec96aedb6133362ec7363fbdc7e244870d47004bf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a44…8985backed Yes | 33c | 1,766$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 68c | 1,470$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.4 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 67c | 864.05$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.18 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 68c | 831.75$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.41 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 31c | 667.3$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.9 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 591.86$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.56 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 32c | 521.26$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.2 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 32c | 517.13$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.98 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 361.88$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.89 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 67c | 262.82$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.59 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 68c | 107.69$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 67c | 98.85$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Yes | 29c | 96.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Yes | 33c | 85.71$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 33c | 85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 67c | 84.92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 68c | 63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 33c | 62.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 69c | 60.87$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 67c | 59.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 70c | 26.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Riestra end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Riestra win on 2026-05-19?No won
- Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-05-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.