Ligue 1 · resolved market
Le Havre AC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ffa0092708a37db8af8a36439af2d2ec543a956031e1e0654b5c90e75d970f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 5,314$2,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,603.85 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 48c | 2,087$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.54 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…70d4backed Over | 52c | 2,083$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.69 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd54…3a0cbacked Under | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 2,033$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.29 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 26c | 1,783$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.39 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…8d4bbacked Over | 77c | 1,295$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b99…4960backed Under | 49c | 880$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fcf…483fbacked Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 45c | 505.36$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc260…68dfbacked Over | 50c | 496.8$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 78c | 390.69$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.95 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 26c | 362.56$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.56 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170e…aa0dbacked Over | 65c | 150$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 38c | 59.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +6.7wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb56…efa6backed Under | 49c | 30.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…122ebacked Under | 53c | 27.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 50c | 24.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 61c | 19.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Le Havre AC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5this page
- Le Havre AC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Le Havre AC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5Over won
- Le Havre AC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5Under won
- Le Havre AC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)Le Havre AC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.