Ligue 1 · resolved market
Le Havre AC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67d39da7c90aeacd1c833bfffbf545b0d8e48a82a5d462752c8eda06e7e38717
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,684
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,684 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 69c | 1,442$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.98 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 1,046$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.24 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 28c | 1,020$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.54 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 34c | 815.22$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.72 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8563…5e98backed Under | 37c | 670$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Under | 70c | 620.29$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…d66abacked Under | 31c | 600$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Under | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 53c | 216.74$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.16 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 72c | 208.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.32 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7839…54cbbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2d…26f2backed Under | 31c | 180$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 71c | 148$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc095…2d65backed Under | 27c | 110$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +275.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Under | 37c | 108.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c7…4078backed Over | 69c | 106.4$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.91 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…2232backed Over | 14c | 105$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -74%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8429…8e64backed Under | 73c | 102.54$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 49c | 87.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…122ebacked Over | 27c | 80.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under | 68c | 59.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 40c | 54.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 49c | 41.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 58c | 25.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Under | 71c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf78d…ea1dbacked Under | 74c | 21.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…9706backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 64c | 16.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Le Havre AC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5this page
- Le Havre AC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Le Havre AC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5Over won
- Le Havre AC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5Over won
- Le Havre AC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)Le Havre AC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.