CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: SAW (-1.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x903dc8fd6c7a92d1e3640d1d55584976315436400e3999b3169dc439e7d70769
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SAWof SAW, Esport Academy Copenhagen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Esport Academy Copenhagen | 64c | 1,120$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.93 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed SAW | 35c | 431.43$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.43 | 601 | 43.1%259 W · 342 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed SAW | 33c | 411.18$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.49 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Esport Academy Copenhagen | 59c | 340.3$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.78 | 473 | 47.1%223 W · 250 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked SAW | 45c | 219.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 1,167 | 48.2%562 W · 605 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed SAW | 41c | 212.2$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.2 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Esport Academy Copenhagen | 63c | 181.88$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.58 | 679 | 51.4%349 W · 330 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed Esport Academy Copenhagen | 55c | 180$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked SAW | 36c | 129.97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed SAW | 41c | 128.78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.98 | 362 | 39.2%142 W · 220 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Esport Academy Copenhagen | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Esport Academy Copenhagen | 64c | 91.54$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed SAW | 45c | 84.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.41 | 562 | 39.5%222 W · 340 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Esport Academy Copenhagen | 56c | 80.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ee…1f82backed Esport Academy Copenhagen | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed Esport Academy Copenhagen | 65c | 68.18$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…c297backed SAW | 39c | 49.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x468b…68a5backed SAW | 44c | 49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Esport Academy Copenhagen | 61c | 35.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked SAW | 39c | 26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked SAW | 51c | 25.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: SAW (-1.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: SAW vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 3SAW won
- Counter-Strike: SAW vs Esport Academy Copenhagen - Map 1 WinnerSAW won
- Counter-Strike: SAW vs Esport Academy Copenhagen - Map 2 WinnerSAW won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.