Euroleague · resolved market
Basket Zaragoza vs. Granada
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90d530cf4f2e578daa635aa8608dbfd541f8ea9edbbe836552ae887aa893a29c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Granadaof Basket Zaragoza, Granada
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Basket Zaragoza | 76c | 3,141$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377.44 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece6…c4bfbacked Granada | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +180.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Basket Zaragoza | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Basket Zaragoza | 72c | 1,324$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.67 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9de…7310backed Granada | 25c | 1,100$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +301.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Granada | 18c | 1,002$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.83 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Basket Zaragoza | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Basket Zaragoza | 43c | 829.59$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.7 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Basket Zaragoza | 36c | 784$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Granada | 23c | 744.97$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.1 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Granada | 57c | 685$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.17 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Basket Zaragoza | 25c | 683.47$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.57 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Granada | 61c | 451$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Granada | 21c | 399.99$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.99 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdad9…c300backed Basket Zaragoza | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Granada | 24c | 261.82$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.98 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3626…3834backed Granada | 22c | 219.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.39 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Granada | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Granada | 20c | 98.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.1 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Granada | 25c | 88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.33 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Basket Zaragoza | 75c | 62.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Granada | 18c | 59.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.79 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Basket Zaragoza | 79c | 50.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e0…d1cebacked Granada | 24c | 41.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Basket Zaragoza | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Granada | 74c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Granada | 48c | 37.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Granada | 74c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Granada | 74c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Basket Zaragoza | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Basket Zaragoza | 79c | 25.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3298…b714backed Granada | 51c | 20.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Basket Zaragoza | 75c | 19.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Basket Zaragoza | 74c | 15.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abb…9d8fbacked Basket Zaragoza | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.