Euroleague · resolved market
Gran Canaria vs. CB Breogan Lugo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90e6fb98cc24eee6c01b58286807c5c6f28c635b7f3f1982ec8333ee3caf47df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CB Breogan Lugoof Gran Canaria, CB Breogan Lugo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,081 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Gran Canaria | 0c | 3,692$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed CB Breogan Lugo | 32c | 1,021$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.17 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Gran Canaria | 65c | 783.3$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.17 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee4c…8572backed CB Breogan Lugo | 34c | 740.37$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f95…6972backed Gran Canaria | 36c | 685.18$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -67%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Gran Canaria | 44c | 430.34$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.32 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked CB Breogan Lugo | 44c | 334.74$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.62 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Gran Canaria | 68c | 250$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Gran Canaria | 60c | 203.05$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.4 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Gran Canaria | 55c | 182.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ad…2d59backed CB Breogan Lugo | 39c | 128.74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.17 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked CB Breogan Lugo | 28c | 110$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…ccd5backed CB Breogan Lugo | 29c | 90$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked CB Breogan Lugo | 35c | 65.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed CB Breogan Lugo | 36c | 62.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…1e38backed CB Breogan Lugo | 49c | 51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Gran Canaria | 60c | 48.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…b3b6backed CB Breogan Lugo | 59c | 44.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Gran Canaria | 55c | 39.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked CB Breogan Lugo | 33c | 32.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 25cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed CB Breogan Lugo | 66c | 32.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +7.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Gran Canaria | 72c | 29.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked CB Breogan Lugo | 45c | 24.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…3780backed Gran Canaria | 72c | 22.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Gran Canaria | 72c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Gran Canaria | 63c | 17.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.