CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90e8995f2d7302d65d811b59d0612c92d5791ecdc4d31d2823d670bf6010ef5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GenOneof KOLESIE, GenOne
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked GenOne | 72c | 2,520$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.62 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked KOLESIE | 29c | 1,141$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.36 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked KOLESIE | 26c | 1,085$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked KOLESIE | 28c | 603.33$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.18 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked KOLESIE | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed GenOne | 73c | 472.55$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.79 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed GenOne | 74c | 131.17$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed KOLESIE | 28c | 112.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked KOLESIE | 28c | 99.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed KOLESIE | 27c | 93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed GenOne | 74c | 82.94$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed GenOne | 72c | 66.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked KOLESIE | 25c | 48.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…17e6backed GenOne | 73c | 27.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed GenOne | 74c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs GenOne (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group StageGenOne won
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne - Map 1 WinnerGenOne won
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne - Map 2 WinnerKOLESIE won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.