Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Arkansas vs. Vanderbilt
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9109c193bd1ca0d92d78db20df0b0ae1005ea46a5707ce856a3546a777c80ab1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arkansasof Arkansas, Vanderbilt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,173
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Vanderbilt | 60c | 869.02$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.42 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…2c98backed Arkansas | 36c | 419$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…e857backed Vanderbilt | 64c | 305$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84a0…e31cbacked Vanderbilt | 71c | 227$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x797a…1022backed Vanderbilt | 72c | 193$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4268…198cbacked Arkansas | 31c | 131$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +133.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd901…df99backed Vanderbilt | 64c | 114$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2603…15c4backed Arkansas | 27c | 108$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Vanderbilt | 70c | 104$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…37f3backed Vanderbilt | 69c | 89$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4043…5246backed Arkansas | 26c | 88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +82%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd0…59b3backed Arkansas | 27c | 82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe1…1a1cbacked Vanderbilt | 74c | 81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…01b3backed Arkansas | 29c | 78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf037…a43bbacked Arkansas | 26c | 78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 22cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7a…8900backed Arkansas | 28c | 72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62d4…70ecbacked Arkansas | 27c | 68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ae…d19fbacked Arkansas | 28c | 68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc43c…608ebacked Arkansas | 29c | 67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 40cpaid | +172.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfe…3028backed Arkansas | 26c | 64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +192.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b9…7093backed Arkansas | 30c | 59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…b8e3backed Vanderbilt | 70c | 59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…2ab9backed Arkansas | 28c | 57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa1b…72c8backed Arkansas | 28c | 57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d1…8e4dbacked Arkansas | 29c | 56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +139.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76f…ca65backed Arkansas | 27c | 53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…b327backed Arkansas | 31c | 52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9b…7ccbbacked Vanderbilt | 73c | 52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3801…35f8backed Arkansas | 26c | 51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc085…9d17backed Arkansas | 27c | 51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0626…e9f4backed Vanderbilt | 73c | 51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Vanderbilt | 74c | 49.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe10c…819fbacked Arkansas | 35c | 47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aeb…5fb5backed Arkansas | 32c | 47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe18…642cbacked Arkansas | 30c | 44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +141.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…a327backed Arkansas | 35c | 43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…143fbacked Arkansas | 32c | 42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed64…7587backed Arkansas | 30c | 42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50f…c033backed Arkansas | 26c | 41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf64…7c1bbacked Arkansas | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83fa…59f9backed Vanderbilt | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…6d4ebacked Vanderbilt | 65c | 39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Vanderbilt | 71c | 37.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e6…5178backed Vanderbilt | 70c | 37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc927…cd61backed Vanderbilt | 73c | 36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4195…a072backed Arkansas | 29c | 36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcf…e8adbacked Vanderbilt | 74c | 34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cce…9455backed Vanderbilt | 74c | 33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc20…6f89backed Vanderbilt | 69c | 33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…c54abacked Vanderbilt | 72c | 32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe45c…3f7abacked Vanderbilt | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e4…c64cbacked Vanderbilt | 73c | 29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1845…0df6backed Vanderbilt | 73c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c89…ae5fbacked Vanderbilt | 70c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5434…51dfbacked Vanderbilt | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…7bfabacked Vanderbilt | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…6850backed Vanderbilt | 73c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f21…2adcbacked Vanderbilt | 74c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…6586backed Vanderbilt | 69c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3f…2d76backed Vanderbilt | 73c | 23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d97…a37bbacked Vanderbilt | 74c | 23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a9…93b1backed Vanderbilt | 65c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e31…629fbacked Vanderbilt | 74c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x070a…1b7abacked Vanderbilt | 74c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…3c14backed Vanderbilt | 68c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0102…3d1ebacked Vanderbilt | 70c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…9c70backed Vanderbilt | 70c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e14…aba1backed Vanderbilt | 74c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c4…85d7backed Vanderbilt | 65c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a3…a3a9backed Vanderbilt | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccc0…53e7backed Vanderbilt | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc86…8244backed Vanderbilt | 74c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9988…c97dbacked Vanderbilt | 70c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x547c…bb98backed Vanderbilt | 73c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa134…e9edbacked Vanderbilt | 72c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c1…b81ebacked Vanderbilt | 70c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd1…ea21backed Vanderbilt | 73c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dc…6715backed Vanderbilt | 70c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53b2…27fbbacked Vanderbilt | 73c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1841…c224backed Vanderbilt | 74c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x304c…ea9dbacked Vanderbilt | 68c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6876…49b6backed Vanderbilt | 74c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…9fc6backed Vanderbilt | 73c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459d…3bddbacked Vanderbilt | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22c8…e91fbacked Vanderbilt | 74c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.