NHL · resolved market
KHL: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs. HC Sochi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x910b84b00b89c3cd66e77fcdcb93ac3deb28ccff0aa0b86e076dc7ccc4da8e16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HC Sochiof Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk, HC Sochi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked HC Sochi | 25c | 71.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985b…6b7fbacked HC Sochi | 29c | 64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +148.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a9…c2f9backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 72c | 56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1afdbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 177 | 65.5%116 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked HC Sochi | 27c | 49.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcece…d26ebacked HC Sochi | 28c | 38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb970…2ed0backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 71c | 37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf00…9222backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 73c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 73c | 32.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6809…a9fcbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 72c | 31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1472…8635backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 72c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecd8…1282backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 72c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…8bf3backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 73c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed HC Sochi | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c3…78dfbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 71c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b60…6693backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 73c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8004…596dbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 71c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…08d0backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 73c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb414…9683backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 71c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e9…7d6abacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e2…48a0backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 72c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0f…0e3cbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 73c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c6…7aadbacked Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 73c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62c0…8ff8backed Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 73c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.